China to Pass US in Smartphone Shipments; India and Brazil Next In Line
The latest report from research firm IDC yesterday showed that in contrast to its March’s report, China will surpass the United States in terms of smartphone shipments quite comfortably by 8.7 percent compared to the previously forecasted 0.1 percent for 2012. Other players such as India and Brazil are tipped to become some of the hottest smartphone markets in the future, and may pass the US a few years down the line.
リサーチ会社、IDCのレポートによると、中国の2012年度のスマートフォン出荷見込み数は、前回3月の発表ではアメリカを0.1%上回ると報告されていたが、昨日発表された最新レポートでは8.7%上回るとあり、難なくアメリカを抜くことが明らかになった。また将来的には、インドやブラジルなどがスマートフォン市場の激戦区になると予想されおり、数年後には、アメリカの出荷数を完全に追い抜くことになるだろう。
According to Wong Teck-Zhung, a senior market analyst at IDC, China’s subsequent growth will be mainly due to growth in the sub-$200 Android segment. He added that the declining smartphone prices for the low-end segment, together with carrier subsidies and customized handsets from local vendors will also greatly support further smartphone market and shipment growth in China. In later years, 4G networks will become another reason for the country’s smartphone market growth, but 4G is still in limited local testing at the moment in China.
Ramos Llamas, the senior research analyst of IDC, said that US growth is not stopping, but simply continuing at a slower pace. He added, “There is still a market for first-time users as well as thriving upgrade opportunities [in the US].”
Regarding the market forecast looking towards 2016, China’s share will see a small relative decline because of the high smartphone growth predicted to happen in other countries, most notably in India and Brazil.
2016年までのその市場予測に関して、中国のシェアはわずかではあるが減少を見せるが、それは他の国々でスマホの高い成長が見込まれているからであり、その成長が最も顕著なのがインドとブラジルである。
2016年に向けた市場予測では、中国のシェアは他の国々で起こるであろうと予想されるスマート・フォーンの大きな成長により僅かに減少すると見られる。 それらの成長が最も顕著であろうとされているのはインドとブラジルである。
India is predicted to have the biggest smartphone market growth in the next years, with the biggest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57.5 percent until 2016. IDC believes that the low-end dual-SIM powered smartphones priced around $100 and a variety of local apps are the main reasons for India’s market growth.
Brazil follows India with the second highest CAGR of 44.0 percent. Strategic developments made by the government and mobile operators will boost the smartphone market, reckons IDC.
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